International Smaller Companies: Under the Radar
Introducing the Radar.
The value of an investment, and any income from it, can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested.
Under the radar
International Smaller Companies
No two diamonds are the same – the unique qualities of each are reflections of individual billion-year journeys through the Earth’s mantle, as well as the effort and skills of the craftsmen charged with the responsibilities to unlock the gemstones’ inner beauty.
In this industry, diamonds are assessed by the ‘4C’s – Cut, Carat, Clarity and Colour. While the grading system has its detractors, the framework clearly identifies the key attributes that define ‘quality’, and it also serves as an effective way to communicate these properties to others.
As investors looking to uncover hidden gems (sorry…) in the vast and diverse smaller companies universe, we find a framework in a similar vein helpful for 1. articulating our own investment philosophy and distilling this down to a number of critical factors and 2. using the system to assess ideas in a systematic and rigorous manner, while recognising the idiosyncrasies of each opportunity that comes our way.
We believe these are six of the key areas for us to consider as investors. We look forward to sharing how we approach each of these radar points in future pieces, as well as exploring the interplay between these factors at a conceptual level. We will start by looking at ‘Opportunity’, using Kinaxis, Sensirion, Biocartis and Raksul as case studies.
We may also further develop this as a tool to help us understand the broader profile of the portfolio, as well as to use this as a graphical aid to help us track the evolution of individual cases. This is where the comparison to diamonds breaks down definitively – we do take long-term views but investment cases are certainly not forever.
It is perhaps worthwhile to highlight what else this is NOT. Numbers and charts often give a misleading impression of certainty, precision and objectivity – this is one of the tricks of the trade that we come across on a daily basis in company presentations. With this in mind, we should emphasise that despite the scoring, our investment process is fundamentally biased towards qualitative analysis; and that we are by no means suggesting equivalence of importance among these six factors (that depends), or indeed direct comparability between ratings from different members of the team.
We are also not insisting that our ideas ‘tick all the boxes’. That is neither a practical nor desirable approach – much of what we do is about making judgements on what really matters in an investment case, embracing the inherent uncertainty in what we do, and in aggregate harnessing the benefits of the asymmetry return potential inherent in equities ownership (particularly in smaller companies). If anything, at least my own observation is that investments with one or two outstanding attributes are often more rewarding to own than those that are merely ‘quite good’ at everything. After all, even some of the most valuable diamonds in the world are indeed far from perfect; they are special by being exceptional in some aspects and in spite of their flaws.
Like diamonds, great investment opportunities come in different shapes and sizes. We think that keeping an open mind to appreciate the individuality of each case is rather important, and we hope that the radar is a useful, albeit imperfect, tool to help us capture the essence of each company that we invest in.
The views expressed in this communication are those of Brian Lum and should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a particular investment. They reflect personal opinion and should not be taken as statements of fact nor should any reliance be placed on them when making investment decisions.
This communication was produced and approved in March 2022 and has not been updated subsequently. It represents views held at the time of writing and may not reflect current thinking.
Potential for profit and loss
All investment strategies have the potential for profit and loss, capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Any stock examples and images used in this communication are not intended to represent recommendations to buy or sell, neither is it implied that they will prove profitable in the future. It is not known whether they will feature in any future portfolio produced by us. Any individual examples will represent only a small part of the overall portfolio and are inserted purely to help illustrate our investment style.
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